top of page
Search
  • Writer's pictureCOMPASS

Recession versus “goldilocks” – five reasons why we could still avoid recession


Dr Shane Oliver, Head of Investment Strategy & Chief Economist insights


Rapid monetary tightening points to a high risk of recession and, given lags in the way it impacts the economy, just

because it hasn’t happened yet does not mean it won’t.


However, a combination of falling inflation, a lack of excesses beyond inflation, excess household saving, the

possibility of rolling sectoral recessions & strong population

growth (in Australia) mean we could still avoid recession.



15 views0 comments
bottom of page